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Red125
16537.0
34537.7
Blue105
33934.1
40523.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74460100150125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
345
Unranked
37.74.5
35.640.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
339
Unranked
34.14.2
29.934.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
165
Unranked
37.04.1
35.439.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
405
Unranked
23.74.2
19.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End