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Red200
7164.2
90346.5
24531.9
Blue110
39742.8
45127.1
8535.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147110050200250300200110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
64.21.4
64.365.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.4
397
Unranked
42.80.1
45.645.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
903
Unranked
46.51.4
46.648.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
85
Unranked
35.70.1
38.638.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
245
Unranked
31.91.4
32.133.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
451
Unranked
27.10.1
29.929.8
Auto
Teleop
End