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Quarterfinal 3-32004 West Michigan Regional
Red85
7164.2
90346.5
24531.9
Blue95
39742.8
45127.1
8535.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521090502002503003508595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
64.21.6
65.8→64.2
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Teleop—
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red by 21.4
397
Unranked
42.80.5
45.5→45.1
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Second
903
Unranked
46.51.6
48.0→46.5
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Teleop—
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red by 10.7
85
Unranked
35.70.5
38.5→38.0
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Third
245
Unranked
31.91.6
33.5→31.9
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Teleop—
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red by 4.9
451
Unranked
27.10.5
29.8→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—