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Red80
8535.7
23531.4
Blue105
124328.5
127243.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7471020406010012014016080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
Unranked
35.70.5
41.041.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
1272
Unranked
43.33.6
49.352.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
235
Unranked
31.40.5
32.533.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1243
Unranked
28.52.5
22.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End