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Red180
51854.4
91036.4
Blue90
24531.9
85727.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6446010015020018090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
518
Unranked
54.414.7
34.148.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
245
Unranked
31.93.2
28.231.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
Unranked
36.410.8
28.339.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
857
Unranked
27.73.2
19.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End