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Red140
7164.2
110326.6
Blue125
30250.9
45332.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737220406080100120140140125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
64.25.6
53.959.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
302
Unranked
50.94.9
39.944.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1103
Unranked
26.68.4
19.227.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
453
Unranked
32.84.0
31.835.8
Auto
Teleop
End