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Red25
44017.6
54132.1
Blue110
6647.6
30832.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5276010015020025110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
541
Unranked
32.12.7
40.437.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
66
Unranked
47.63.4
46.950.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
440
Unranked
17.62.2
14.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
308
Unranked
32.22.8
26.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End