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Red40
90346.5
8535.7
Blue85
23531.4
51854.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86810501001502002503004085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
903
Unranked
46.53.4
43.740.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
518
Unranked
54.40.4
48.849.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85
Unranked
35.73.4
41.438.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
235
Unranked
31.40.2
33.033.3
Auto
Teleop
End