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Red100
85727.7
49461.1
Blue80
28829.6
24531.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9940015020010080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
61.10.5
70.070.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.2
245
Unranked
31.92.5
31.333.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
Unranked
27.70.5
22.823.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
288
Unranked
29.64.2
15.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End