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Red55
8535.7
91036.4
Blue25
110326.6
102429.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82700501001502005525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
Unranked
36.42.0
41.639.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1024
Unranked
29.33.5
39.235.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
85
Unranked
35.72.0
39.637.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1103
Unranked
26.65.4
32.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End