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Red50
4922.7
28829.6
Blue160
39742.8
44017.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54440208010012014016050160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
Unranked
29.60.3
30.029.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
397
Unranked
42.88.6
36.144.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49
Unranked
22.70.2
22.922.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
440
Unranked
17.68.6
8.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End