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Red25
45332.8
5193.9
Blue80
122719.6
85727.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384201001502580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
453
Unranked
32.81.0
33.832.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
857
Unranked
27.72.9
24.827.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
519
Unranked
3.91.0
5.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
1227
Unranked
19.62.9
16.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End