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Red10
16721.2
90321.0
Blue20
118221.5
35623.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464902060801001201401601020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
Unranked
21.24.6
28.223.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
356
Unranked
23.23.6
26.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
903
Unranked
21.04.6
18.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1182
Unranked
21.53.6
23.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End