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Red30
53521.8
10289.4
Blue20
3116.8
131514.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27410501001503020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
535
Unranked
21.80.2
15.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
31
Unranked
16.82.4
21.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1028
Unranked
9.40.2
13.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1315
Unranked
14.22.4
18.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End