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Red70
84737.7
44416.3
Blue100
21729.8
103048.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4483010015020070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
Unranked
37.72.2
33.635.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
1030
Unranked
48.21.6
47.649.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
444
Unranked
16.32.4
14.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
217
Unranked
29.81.6
31.533.1
Auto
Teleop
End