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Red80
50151.5
22933.4
Blue55
31316.7
101030.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90340501502002508055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
Unranked
51.50.4
56.155.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
1010
Unranked
30.31.1
29.130.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
Unranked
33.40.3
27.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
313
Unranked
16.71.5
11.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End