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Red70
46238.9
9795.9
Blue105
32224.5
41845.1
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376505010015020070105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
38.92.3
33.635.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
418
Unranked
45.13.2
38.141.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
979
Unranked
5.92.5
6.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
322
Unranked
24.53.2
24.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End