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Red80
66235.1
125121.1
Blue95
48655.0
36432.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5210301502002508095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
Unranked
35.11.7
34.636.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
486
Unranked
55.00.2
57.357.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1251
Unranked
21.11.7
23.124.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
364
Unranked
32.40.2
40.440.2
Auto
Teleop
End