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Red100
22933.4
128613.8
Blue120
7937.6
34040.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3790050100150200100120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
33.44.3
31.836.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
340
Unranked
40.83.6
57.961.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1286
Unranked
13.84.3
10.514.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
79
Unranked
37.62.7
26.329.0
Auto
Teleop
End