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Red15
35722.3
5838.7
Blue85
36432.4
38150.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557801001502001585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
Unranked
38.73.9
38.134.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
381
Unranked
50.80.7
42.142.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
Unranked
22.33.5
19.115.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
364
Unranked
32.40.9
33.434.4
Auto
Teleop
End