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Red70
96851.9
110227.1
Blue165
10754.7
18038.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758105010015020025030035040070165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
51.90.6
47.446.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
107
Unranked
54.76.3
51.357.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1102
Unranked
27.10.5
28.728.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
180
Unranked
38.46.3
29.435.7
Auto
Teleop
End