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Red95
16730.9
95748.8
Blue90
139148.5
14016.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675301001502009590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
Unranked
48.82.4
43.946.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1391
Unranked
48.52.7
42.144.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
167
Unranked
30.92.9
21.724.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
140
Unranked
16.43.9
12.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End