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Red105
58540.7
101030.3
Blue100
17652.0
105747.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561160100150200250105100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
Unranked
40.73.2
36.239.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
176
Unranked
52.00.7
52.952.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1010
Unranked
30.33.2
25.929.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
1057
Unranked
47.20.9
56.655.8
Auto
Teleop
End