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Red155
2545.7
30355.4
Blue145
24040.4
38150.8
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10174050150200155145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
55.44.3
54.558.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
381
Unranked
50.85.1
44.849.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25
Unranked
45.74.3
43.848.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
240
Unranked
40.46.2
32.638.8
Auto
Teleop
End