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Red140
96851.9
45648.5
Blue35
31316.7
88518.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions962205015020025014035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
Unranked
51.94.8
46.851.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.1
885
Unranked
18.80.4
16.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
456
Unranked
48.53.9
41.345.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.8
313
Unranked
16.70.3
14.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End