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Red85
50156.1
52920.4
Blue40
9713.2
127726.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623501001502002503003504008540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
Unranked
56.13.3
43.246.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.0
1277
Unranked
26.10.2
17.617.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
529
Unranked
20.43.3
15.518.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
97
Unranked
13.20.2
20.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End