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Red130
15744.7
13841.7
Blue70
16618.4
88520.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4738010015020025013070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
44.710.5
20.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.0
885
Unranked
20.73.8
15.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
138
Unranked
41.710.5
25.135.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.3
166
Unranked
18.43.8
23.627.5
Auto
Teleop
End