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Red90
21345.4
17660.7
Blue95
6954.2
107345.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667301002003004009095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
60.72.9
35.438.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
69
Unranked
54.22.8
40.042.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
213
Unranked
45.42.9
31.634.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1073
Unranked
45.82.8
32.535.3
Auto
Teleop
End