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Qual 482004 New Jersey Regional
Red35
10340.2
63710.3
Blue45
30335.3
71412.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504001001502002503003545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
40.21.8
34.7→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
303
Unranked
35.30.5
30.9→31.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
637
Unranked
10.31.8
14.3→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.4
714
Unranked
12.70.5
9.9→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—