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Qual 492004 New Jersey Regional
Red50
36524.3
29310.4
Blue125
71642.1
8739.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366405010015020025050125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
24.31.3
22.3→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.8
716
Unranked
42.18.1
30.5→38.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
293
Unranked
10.41.3
16.9→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 28.9
87
Unranked
39.38.1
30.0→38.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—