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Red80
136613.5
23749.1
Blue10
57132.2
70920.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373602060801008010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
Unranked
49.15.5
17.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
571
Unranked
32.23.4
21.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1366
Unranked
13.510.2
13.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
709
Unranked
20.03.4
16.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End