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Red40
115610.9
22827.7
Blue120
21947.6
130242.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333202040608010012040120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
27.71.1
15.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
219
Unranked
47.610.8
15.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1156
Unranked
10.91.1
15.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.4
1302
Unranked
42.310.1
39.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End