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Red70
118839.2
101517.5
Blue60
120635.7
100123.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546401001502002507060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
Unranked
39.21.1
39.840.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1206
Unranked
35.70.4
36.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1015
Unranked
17.51.8
15.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1001
Unranked
23.60.4
27.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End