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Red10
38220.3
127413.3
Blue15
24915.8
14137.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37620501001502001015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
382
Unranked
20.32.2
22.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.1
141
Unranked
37.43.4
40.637.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1274
Unranked
13.33.7
17.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
249
Unranked
15.83.4
19.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End