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Red40
9649.6
57830.6
Blue100
118922.8
103821.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40392030506070809040100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
Unranked
30.60.0
30.030.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
1189
Unranked
22.84.6
20.625.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
964
Unranked
9.60.1
9.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
1038
Unranked
21.07.7
18.125.7
Auto
Teleop
End