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Red15
101517.5
13088.3
Blue95
14137.4
82915.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23630501001501595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1015
Unranked
17.51.5
16.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.0
141
Unranked
37.42.7
42.044.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1308
Unranked
8.31.5
10.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
829
Unranked
15.54.5
16.721.3
Auto
Teleop
End