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Red25
101836.7
19141.0
Blue105
6327.3
118839.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635620408010012025105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
41.04.6
37.032.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1188
Unranked
39.23.6
35.238.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
Unranked
36.73.7
24.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
63
Unranked
27.33.6
21.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End