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Red55
82021.6
130018.1
Blue95
111449.9
139215.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365801001502005595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
820
Unranked
21.62.1
20.322.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.3
1114
Unranked
49.93.0
37.040.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1300
Unranked
18.12.1
18.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1392
Unranked
15.47.8
15.423.2
Auto
Teleop
End