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Red45
129221.1
105319.3
Blue5
100913.2
100622.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3538050100150455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1292
Unranked
21.11.6
21.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1006
Unranked
22.73.9
23.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1053
Unranked
19.31.2
16.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1009
Unranked
13.24.1
14.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End