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Red30
11125.8
108424.5
Blue100
139720.7
3351.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2960020408010012014016030100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1084
Unranked
24.50.3
15.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.2
33
Unranked
51.83.3
39.743.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1112
Unranked
5.80.3
16.716.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
1397
Unranked
20.75.4
16.822.3
Auto
Teleop
End