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Red5
85428.5
148612.8
Blue15
104913.5
135216.5
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3028020406080100120140515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
Unranked
28.53.1
12.49.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1352
Unranked
16.50.1
16.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1486
Unranked
12.83.1
17.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1049
Unranked
13.51.6
9.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End