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Red65
99731.5
130112.1
Blue15
48824.4
141626.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353502060801006515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
Unranked
31.53.8
16.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1416
Unranked
26.210.6
26.215.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1301
Unranked
12.19.9
12.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
488
Unranked
24.42.5
17.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End