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Red50
113023.8
135937.0
Blue10
84617.7
95528.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314101001502002503003504005010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
Unranked
37.026.5
46.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
955
Unranked
28.83.7
16.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1130
Unranked
23.82.2
14.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
846
Unranked
17.73.7
22.418.8
Auto
Teleop
End