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Red65
48824.4
95633.5
Blue55
84617.7
116917.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38310501001502006555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
Unranked
33.53.3
24.828.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.8
846
Unranked
17.72.9
19.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
488
Unranked
24.43.3
12.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1169
Unranked
17.62.9
11.714.6
Auto
Teleop
End