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Red30
144111.4
142513.0
Blue35
94923.6
87914.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27410501001503035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
Unranked
13.00.2
13.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
949
Unranked
23.60.5
24.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1441
Unranked
11.40.2
15.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
879
Unranked
14.90.5
15.314.7
Auto
Teleop
End