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Red170
49240.7
103146.5
Blue65
82414.3
95746.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8048010015020017065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1031
Unranked
46.510.9
40.451.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
957
Unranked
46.71.7
35.437.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
Unranked
40.710.9
36.147.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.4
824
Unranked
14.31.6
16.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End