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Quarterfinal 2-12004 Philadelphia Regional
Red80
17729.9
38139.1
28433.5
Blue70
121835.4
34132.8
20415.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119870501001502002508070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
381
Unranked
39.10.9
43.1→42.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
1218
Unranked
35.40.5
37.9→37.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
284
Unranked
33.51.2
38.8→37.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
341
Unranked
32.80.5
35.3→34.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
177
Unranked
29.90.9
33.9→33.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.7
204
Unranked
15.20.5
17.7→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—