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Red90
5664.4
139140.3
80934.0
Blue185
48651.9
22264.2
65130.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151180010020030040090185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
64.41.6
69.668.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
222
Unranked
64.20.2
74.274.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
Unranked
40.31.6
45.543.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
486
Unranked
51.90.2
61.962.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
809
Unranked
34.01.6
39.237.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
651
Unranked
30.70.2
40.640.8
Auto
Teleop
End