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Red15
35838.8
70919.8
Blue30
4339.9
17729.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605602040801001201401530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
38.83.3
39.536.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
177
Unranked
29.92.0
29.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
709
Unranked
19.83.7
20.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
433
Unranked
9.93.3
26.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End