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Red130
22447.0
114341.1
Blue20
34132.8
13949.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5652020408010012013020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
47.06.2
36.242.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
341
Unranked
32.83.0
25.422.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1143
Unranked
41.19.3
19.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.2
1394
Unranked
9.94.1
27.023.0
Auto
Teleop
End